BOUNTIFUL — In the next 36 years, Davis County is projected to grow by well above one-third in terms of total population.
That’s according to a report released late last month by The Utah Foundation. It projects the county’s population could reach 465,000-plus people by 2050.
That’s compared to a Davis County 2010 population of just under 307,000 counted by the U.S. Census Bureau.
That projection is comfortably within the range county officials have used when determining build out, or basically a situation where there is no more room for any substantial building activity or population growth.
In spite of sizeable growth, it will still put Davis County behind all but Cache County, population-wise, across the state. That’s due largely to the county having the smallest land area of any of the state’s 29 counties. Part of the Great Salt Lake is also included in that land area, making for even less buildable area.
By comparison, Salt Lake County is projected to grow by 61 percent to 1,659,000, Utah County by 136 percent to nearly 1,217,000, and Washington County by 242 percent, to nearly 473,000 people.
Also poised for strong numeral growth are Weber County, projected to add 72 percent more people, to close to 400,000, and Cache County, which is projected to grow by 106 percent, to more than 232,000 people.
No Davis County city is projected to see major population growth on the magnitude of such cities as St. George, which is projected to reach a population of nearly 250,000.
Healthcare support is projected to experience an annual 4 percent growth rate in the county, followed by healthcare practitioners and technical support of 3.5 percent.
“A Snapshot of 2050” notes that projections vary widely on how many people the Beehive state will add by 2050, from over one million to 2 1/2 million.
But it’s estimated most of that growth will continue to be from within, at about two-thirds.
“Utah in the future will likely feature an older, more diverse population, as well as an increasingly urban population,” the report said.
The state’s population has nearly tripled since 1970, when it first topped the one million mark. Nine Utah counties are projected to more than double their population by 2050, the report noted.
Prior long-range planning efforts helped by such groups as Envision Utah have helped reduce the amount of land consumed by new development by several hundred square miles, it was noted.
The state’s 65 and-older population is projected to double by 2050, and the population of those 178 and younger is projected to decline, the report said.
Although Utah’s population will continue to get more diverse, that diversification will come more slowly than for the nation.